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lmd_Boucher2001_abstracts.html

2001 .

(1 publication)

O. Boucher and J. Haywood. On summing the components of radiative forcing of climate change. Climate Dynamics, 18:297-302, 2001. [ bib | DOI | ADS link ]

Radiative forcing is a useful concept in determining the potential influence of a particular mechanism of climate change. However, due to the increased number of forcing agents identified over the past decade, the total radiative forcing is difficult to assess. By assigning a range of probability distribution functions to the individual radiative forcings and using a Monte-Carlo approach, we estimate the total radiative forcing since pre-industrial times including all quantitative radiative forcing estimates to date. The resulting total radiative forcing has a 75-97% probability of being positive (or similarly a 3-25% probability of being negative), with mean radiative forcing ranging from +0.68 to +1.34Wm-2, and median radiative forcing ranging from +0.94 to +1.39Wm-2.

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