lmd_Dufresne2011.bib
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@article{2011BAMS...92.1023B,
author = {{Bodas-Salcedo}, A. and {Webb}, M.~J. and {Bony}, S. and {Chepfer}, H. and
{Dufresne}, J.-L. and {Klein}, S.~A. and {Zhang}, Y. and {Marchand}, R. and
{Haynes}, J.~M. and {Pincus}, R. and {John}, V.~O.},
title = {{COSP: Satellite simulation software for model assessment}},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
year = 2011,
month = aug,
volume = 92,
pages = {1023-1043},
doi = {10.1175/2011BAMS2856.1},
adsurl = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2011BAMS...92.1023B},
adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}
@article{2011ClDy...37.1975J,
author = {{Johns}, T.~C. and {Royer}, J.-F. and {H{\"o}schel}, I. and
{Huebener}, H. and {Roeckner}, E. and {Manzini}, E. and {May}, W. and
{Dufresne}, J.-L. and {Otter{\aa}}, O.~H. and {van Vuuren}, D.~P. and
{Salas Y Melia}, D. and {Giorgetta}, M.~A. and {Denvil}, S. and
{Yang}, S. and {Fogli}, P.~G. and {K{\"o}rper}, J. and {Tjiputra}, J.~F. and
{Stehfest}, E. and {Hewitt}, C.~D.},
title = {{Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment}},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
keywords = {Climate, Climate change, Carbon cycle, Projections, Mitigation, Stabilization, Allowable emissions, Emissions reduction, Earth system model, Multi-model, ENSEMBLES, CMIP5},
year = 2011,
month = nov,
volume = 37,
pages = {1975-2003},
abstract = {{We present results from multiple comprehensive models used to simulate
an aggressive mitigation scenario based on detailed results of an
Integrated Assessment Model. The experiment employs ten global climate
and Earth System models (GCMs and ESMs) and pioneers elements of the
long-term experimental design for the forthcoming 5th Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change assessment. Atmospheric carbon-dioxide
concentrations pathways rather than carbon emissions are specified in
all models, including five ESMs that contain interactive carbon cycles.
Specified forcings also include minor greenhouse gas concentration
pathways, ozone concentration, aerosols (via concentrations or precursor
emissions) and land use change (in five models). The new aggressive
mitigation scenario (E1), constructed using an integrated assessment
model (IMAGE 2.4) with reduced fossil fuel use for energy production
aimed at stabilizing global warming below 2 K, is studied alongside the
medium-high non-mitigation scenario SRES A1B. Resulting twenty-first
century global mean warming and precipitation changes for A1B are
broadly consistent with previous studies. In E1 twenty-first century
global warming remains below 2 K in most models, but global mean
precipitation changes are higher than in A1B up to 2065 and consistently
higher per degree of warming. The spread in global temperature and
precipitation responses is partly attributable to inter-model variations
in aerosol loading and representations of aerosol-related radiative
forcing effects. Our study illustrates that the benefits of mitigation
will not be realised in temperature terms until several decades after
emissions reductions begin, and may vary considerably between regions. A
subset of the models containing integrated carbon cycles agree that land
and ocean sinks remove roughly half of present day anthropogenic carbon
emissions from the atmosphere, and that anthropogenic carbon emissions
must decrease by at least 50\% by 2050 relative to 1990, with further
large reductions needed beyond that to achieve the E1 concentrations
pathway. Negative allowable anthropogenic carbon emissions at and beyond
2100 cannot be ruled out for the E1 scenario. There is self-consistency
between the multi-model ensemble of allowable anthropogenic carbon
emissions and the E1 scenario emissions from IMAGE 2.4.
}},
doi = {10.1007/s00382-011-1005-5},
adsurl = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2011ClDy...37.1975J},
adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}
@article{2011ClDy...37.1269J,
author = {{Johns}, T.~C. and {Royer}, J.-F. and {H{\"o}schel}, I. and
{Huebener}, H. and {Roeckner}, E. and {Manzini}, E. and {May}, W. and
{Dufresne}, J.-L. and {Otter{\aa}}, O.~H. and {van Vuuren}, D.~P. and
{Salas Y Melia}, D. and {Giorgetta}, M.~A. and {Denvil}, S. and
{Yang}, S. and {Fogli}, P.~G. and {K{\"o}rper}, J. and {Tjiputra}, J.~F. and
{Stehfest}, E. and {Hewitt}, C.~D.},
title = {{Erratum to: Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment}},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
year = 2011,
month = sep,
volume = 37,
pages = {1269-1270},
doi = {10.1007/s00382-011-1102-5},
adsurl = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2011ClDy...37.1269J},
adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}
